Publikationen

“In Silico Clinical Trials in Drug Development: A Systematic Review”

November 2025

Therapeutic Innovation & Regulatory Science

Bohua Chen, Lucia Chantal Schneider, Christian Röver, Emmanuelle Comets, Markus Christian Elze, Andrew Hooker, Joanna IntHout, Anne-Sophie Jannot, Daria Julkowska, Yanis Mimouni, Marina Savelieva, Nigel Stallard, Moreno Ursino, Marc Vandemeulebroecke, Sebastian Weber, Martin Posch, Sarah Zohar & Tim Friede

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CAIMed Groups:

Statistical Evidence in AI Systems

In the context of clinical research, computational models have received increasing attention over the past decades. In this systematic review, we aimed to provide an overview of the role of so-called in silico clinical trials (ISCTs) in medical applications. Exemplary for the broad field of clinical medicine, we focused on in silico (IS) methods applied in drug development, sometimes also referred to as model informed drug development (MIDD). We searched PubMed and ClinicalTrials.gov for published articles and registered clinical trials related to ISCTs. We identified 202 articles and 48 trials, and of these, 76 articles and 19 trials were directly linked to drug development. We extracted information from all 202 articles and 48 clinical trials and conducted a more detailed review of the methods used in the 76 articles that are connected to drug development. Regarding application, most articles and trials focused on cancer and imaging-related research while rare and pediatric diseases were only addressed in 14 articles and 5 trials, respectively. While some models were informed combining mechanistic knowledge with clinical or preclinical (in-vivo or in-vitro) data, the majority of models were fully data-driven, illustrating that clinical data is a crucial part in the process of generating synthetic data in ISCTs. Regarding reproducibility, a more detailed analysis revealed that only 24% (18 out of 76) of the articles provided an open-source implementation of the applied models, and in only 20% of the articles the generated synthetic data were publicly available. Despite the widely raised interest, we also found that it is still uncommon for ISCTs to be part of a registered clinical trial and their application is restricted to specific diseases leaving potential benefits of ISCTs not fully exploited.

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Funded by CAIMed

“VANILLA: Validated knowledge graph completion—A Normalization-based framework for Integrity, Link prediction, and Logical Accuracy”

September 2025

Knowledge-Based Systems, 325, Article 113939

Disha Purohit, Yashrajsinh Chudasama, Maria-Esther Vidal

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CAIMed Groups:

AI & Active Agents

Semantic Models

Knowledge graphs (KGs) are expressive data structures for integrating and describing heterogeneous data by unifying factual information and domain knowledge. However, under the Open World Assumption (OWA), the absence of facts does not imply falsity—only incompleteness. Inductive learning methods, particularly numerical techniques such as Knowledge Graph Embeddings (KGEs) and Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), are widely used for link prediction and classification tasks in KGs. These models excel at capturing latent patterns and exploiting structural properties at scale. Nevertheless, their performance can be significantly degraded by anomalies in KG representations—semantic inconsistencies and modeling artifacts that arise from unconstrained data integration. Such anomalies obscure the intended meaning of relations, introduce noise, and mislead numerical learning models. To address this issue, we introduce a normalization theory for KGs that enforces semantic consistency through normal forms. These forms restructure KGs to eliminate representational anomalies, ensuring that the data adheres to well-defined semantic constraints. We present VANILLA, a neuro-symbolic framework that combines symbolic rule learning, numerical inductive models, and constraint-based validation. By aligning inductive predictions with normalized, ontology-aware KG structures, VANILLA enables accurate and semantically grounded KG completion. Experimental results show that our approach significantly improves predictive performance while maintaining semantic integrity, demonstrating the value of normalization in hybrid KG learning systems. VANILLA is publicly available on GitHub https://github.com/SDM-TIB/VANILLA

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Funded by CAIMed

“Probabilistic Domain Adaptation for Biomedical Image Segmentation”

August 2025

ICCVW 2025

Anwai Archit, Constantin Pape

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Segmentation is a crucial analysis task in biomedical imaging. Given the diverse experimental settings in this field, the lack of generalization limits the use of deep learning in practice. Domain adaptation is a promising remedy: it involves training a model for a given task on a source dataset with labels and adapts it to a target dataset without additional labels. We introduce a probabilistic domain adaptation method, building on self-training approaches and the Probabilistic UNet. We use the latter to sample multiple segmentation hypotheses to implement better pseudo-label filtering. We further study joint and separate source-target training strategies and evaluate our method on three challenging domain adaptation tasks for biomedical segmentation.

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Funded by CAIMed

„Agent-based modeling for realistic reproduction of human mobility and contact behavior to evaluate test and isolation strategies in epidemic infectious disease spread^“

July 2025

Computers in Biology and Medicine, 193, 110269

David Kerkmann, Sascha Korf, Khoa Nguyen, Daniel Abele, Alain Schengen, Carlotta Gerstein, Jens Henrik Göbbert, Achim Basermann, Martin J. Kühn, Michael Meyer-Hermann

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CAIMed Groups:

AI & Active Agents

Human Centered AI

Agent-based models have proven to be useful tools in supporting decision-making processes in different application domains. The advent of modern computers and supercomputers has enabled these bottom-up approaches to realistically model human mobility and contact behavior.

The COVID-19 pandemic showcased the urgent need for detailed and informative models that can answer research questions on transmission dynamics. We present a sophisticated agent-based model to simulate the spread of respiratory diseases. The model is highly modularized and can be used on various scales, from a small collection of buildings up to cities or countries. Although not being the focus of this paper, the model has undergone performance engineering on a single core and provides an efficient intra- and inter-simulation parallelization for time-critical decision-making processes.

In order to allow answering research questions on individual level resolution, nonpharmaceutical intervention strategies such as face masks or venue closures can be implemented for particular locations or agents. In particular, we allow for sophisticated testing and isolation strategies to study the effects of minimal-invasive infectious disease mitigation.

With realistic human mobility patterns for the region of Brunswick, Germany, we study the effects of different interventions between March 1st and May 30, 2021 in the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. Our analyses suggest that symptom-independent testing has limited impact on the mitigation of disease dynamics if the dark figure in symptomatic cases is high. Furthermore, we found that quarantine length is more important than quarantine efficiency but that, with sufficient symptomatic control, also short quarantines can have a substantial effect.

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Funded by CAIMed

“A rule-based clinical decision support system for detection of acute kidney injury after pediatric cardiac surgery”

July 2025

Computers in Biology and Medicine, 193, 110382

Janice Wachenbrunner, Marcel Mast, Julia Böhnke, Nicole Rübsamen, Louisa Bode, André Karch, Henning Rathert, Alexander Horke, Philipp Beerbaum, Michael Marschollek, Thomas Jack, Martin Böhne

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CAIMed Groups:

AI & Decisions

Clinical Decision Support

Acute kidney injury (AKI) is common in children with congenital heart disease following open-heart surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB). Early AKI detection in critically ill children requires clinician expertise to compile various data from different sources within a stressful and time-sensitive environment. However, as electronic health records provide data in a machine-readable format, this process could be supported by computerized systems. Therefore, we developed a time-aware, rule-based clinical decision support system (CDSS) to detect, stage, and track temporal AKI progression in children.

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Funded by CAIMed

„Segment Anything for Histopathology”

March 2025

MIDL 2025

Titus Griebel, Anwai Archit, Constantin Pape

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Nucleus segmentation is an important analysis task in digital pathology. However, methods for automatic segmentation often struggle with new data from a different distribution, requiring users to manually annotate nuclei and retrain data-specific models. Vision foundation models (VFMs), such as the Segment Anything Model (SAM), offer a more robust alternative for automatic and interactive segmentation. Despite their success in natural images, a foundation model for nucleus segmentation in histopathology is still missing. Initial efforts to adapt SAM have shown some success, but did not yet introduce a comprehensive model for diverse segmentation tasks. To close this gap, we introduce PathoSAM, a VFM for nucleus segmentation, based on training SAM on a diverse dataset. Our extensive experiments show that it is the new state-of-the-art model for automatic and interactive nucleus instance segmentation in histopathology. We also demonstrate how it can be adapted for other segmentation tasks, including semantic nucleus segmentation. For this task, we show that it yields results better than popular methods, while not yet beating the state-of-the-art, CellViT. Our models are open-source and compatible with popular tools for data annotation. We also provide scripts for whole-slide image segmentation.

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Funded by CAIMed

„Parameter Efficient Fine-Tuning of Segment Anything Model for Biomedical Imaging”

March 2025

MIDL 2025

Carolin Teuber, Anwai Archit, Constantin Pape

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CAIMed Groups:

Segmentation is an important analysis task for biomedical images, enabling the study of individual organelles, cells or organs. Deep learning has massively improved segmentation methods, but challenges remain in generalization to new conditions, requiring costly data annotation. Vision foundation models, such as Segment Anything Model (SAM), address this issue through improved generalization. However, these models still require finetuning on annotated data, although with less annotations, to achieve optimal results for new conditions. As a downside, they require more computational resources. This makes parameter-efficient finetuning (PEFT) relevant. We contribute the first comprehensive study of PEFT for SAM applied to biomedical images. We find that the placement of PEFT layers is more important for efficiency than the type of layer for vision transformers and we provide a recipe for resource-efficient finetuning.

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Funded by CAIMed

“Using Photon-Counting CT Images for Lung Nodule Classification”

March 2025

Leonie Thieme, Zahra Ahmadi, Steffen Oeltze-Jafra, Eike Petersen, Hoen-oh Shin, Andrea Schenk

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CAIMed Groups:

AI & Decisions

Human-Centered AI

An automatic classification of the malignancy of lung nodules in computed tomography (CT) scans can support early detection of lung cancer, which is crucial for the treatment success. The novel photon-counting CT (PCCT) technology enables high image quality with a low radiation dose and provides additional spectral information. This research focuses on whether PCCT scans offer a benefit in the automatic classification of lung nodules. Establishing a dataset of PCCT images poses several challenges, such as the extraction of annotations or the data imbalance.

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Funded by CAIMed

“Transient silencing of hypermutation preserves B cell affinity during clonal bursting”

March 2025

Nature 641, 486–494

Juhee Pae, Niklas Schwan, Bertrand Ottino-Loffler, William S. DeWitt, Amar Garg, Juliana Bortolatto, Ashni A. Vora, Jin-Jie Shen, Alvaro Hobbs, Tiago B. R. Castro, Luka Mesin, Frederick A. Matsen IV, Michael Meyer-Hermann & Gabriel D. Victora

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CAIMed Groups:

AI & Active Agents

Mathematical Models

In the course of antibody affinity maturation, germinal centre (GC) B cells mutate their immunoglobulin heavy- and light-chain genes in a process known as somatic hypermutation (SHM). Panels of mutant B cells with different binding affinities for antigens are then selected in a Darwinian manner, which leads to a progressive increase in affinity among the population. As with any Darwinian process, rare gain-of-fitness mutations must be identified and common loss-of-fitness mutations avoided. Progressive acquisition of mutations therefore poses a risk during large proliferative bursts, when GC B cells undergo several cell cycles in the absence of affinity-based selection. Using a combination of in vivo mouse experiments and mathematical modelling, here we show that GCs achieve this balance by strongly suppressing SHM during clonal-burst-type expansion, so that a large fraction of the progeny generated by these bursts does not deviate from their ancestral genotype. Intravital imaging and image-based cell sorting of a mouse strain carrying a reporter of cyclin-dependent kinase 2 (CDK2) activity showed that B cells that are actively undergoing proliferative bursts lack the transient CDK2low ‘G0-like’ phase of the cell cycle in which SHM takes place. We propose a model in which inertially cycling B cells mostly delay SHM until the G0-like phase that follows their final round of division in the GC dark zone, thus maintaining affinity as they clonally expand in the absence of selection.

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Funded by CAIMed

“Continuous monitoring of physiological data using the patient vital status fusion score in septic critical care patients”

March 2024

Sci Rep 14, 7198

Philipp L. S. Ohland, Thomas Jack, Marcel Mast, Anette Melk, André Bleich & Steven R. Talbot

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CAIMed Groups:

Clinical Decision Support

Accurate and standardized methods for assessing the vital status of patients are crucial for patient care and scientific research. This study introduces the Patient Vital Status (PVS), which quantifies and contextualizes a patient’s physical status based on continuous variables such as vital signs and deviations from age-dependent normative values. The vital signs, heart rate, oxygen saturation, respiratory rate, mean arterial blood pressure, and temperature were selected as input to the PVS pipeline. The method was applied to 70 pediatric patients in the intensive care unit (ICU), and its efficacy was evaluated by matching high values with septic events at different time points in patient care. Septic events included systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) and suspected or proven sepsis. The comparison of maximum PVS values between the presence and absence of a septic event showed significant differences (SIRS/No SIRS: p < 0.0001, η2 = 0.54; Suspected Sepsis/No Suspected Sepsis: p = 0.00047, η2 = 0.43; Proven Sepsis/No Proven Sepsis: p = 0.0055, η2 = 0.34). A further comparison between the most severe PVS in septic patients with the PVS at ICU discharge showed even higher effect sizes (SIRS: p < 0.0001, η2 = 0.8; Suspected Sepsis: p < 0.0001, η2 = 0.8; Proven Sepsis: p = 0.002, η2 = 0.84). The PVS is emerging as a data-driven tool with the potential to assess a patient’s vital status in the ICU objectively. Despite real-world data challenges and potential annotation biases, it shows promise for monitoring disease progression and treatment responses. Its adaptability to different disease markers and reliance on age-dependent reference values further broaden its application possibilities. Real-time implementation of PVS in personalized patient monitoring may be a promising way to improve critical care. However, PVS requires further research and external validation to realize its true potential.

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Funded by CAIMed

Preprints

“Auto-nnU-Net: Towards Automated Medical Image Segmentation”

22 May 2025 (submission date)

arxiv.org

Jannis Becktepe, Leona Hennig, Steffen Oeltze-Jafra, Marius Lindauer

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CAIMed Groups:

AI & Decision

Human-Centered AI

Medical Image Segmentation (MIS) includes diverse tasks, from bone to organ segmentation, each with its own challenges in finding the best segmentation model. The state-of-the-art AutoML-related MIS-framework nnU-Net automates many aspects of model configuration but remains constrained by fixed hyperparameters and heuristic design choices. As a full-AutoML framework for MIS, we propose Auto-nnU-Net, a novel nnU-Net variant enabling hyperparameter optimization (HPO), neural architecture search (NAS), and hierarchical NAS (HNAS). Additionally, we propose Regularized PriorBand to balance model accuracy with the computational resources required for training, addressing the resource constraints often faced in real-world medical settings that limit the feasibility of extensive training procedures. We evaluate our approach across diverse MIS datasets from the well-established Medical Segmentation Decathlon, analyzing the impact of AutoML techniques on segmentation performance, computational efficiency, and model design choices. The results demonstrate that our AutoML approach substantially improves the segmentation performance of nnU-Net on 6 out of 10 datasets and is on par on the other datasets while maintaining practical resource requirements. Our code is available at this URL.

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Funded by CAIMed

„Artificial Intelligence in Pediatric Echocardiography: ExploringChallenges, Opportunities, and Clinical Applications withExplainable AI and Federated Learning“

27 March 2025 (submission date)

arxiv.org

Mohammed Yaseen Jabarulla, Theodor Uden, Thomas Jack, Philipp Beerbaum, Steffen Oeltze-Jafra

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CAIMed Groups:

Clinical Decision Support

Human-Centered AI

Pediatric heart diseases present a broad spectrum of congenital and acquired diseases. More complex congenital malformations require a differentiated and multimodal decision-making process, usually including echocardiography as a central imaging method. Artificial intelligence (AI) offers considerable promise for clinicians by facilitating automated interpretation of pediatric echocardiography data. However, adapting AI technologies for pediatric echocardiography analysis has challenges such as limited public data availability, data privacy, and AI model transparency. Recently, researchers have focused on disruptive technologies, such as federated learning (FL) and explainable AI (XAI), to improve automatic diagnostic and decision support workflows. This study offers a comprehensive overview of the limitations and opportunities of AI in pediatric echocardiography, emphasizing the synergistic workflow and role of XAI and FL, identifying research gaps, and exploring potential future developments. Additionally, three relevant clinical use cases demonstrate the functionality of XAI and FL with a focus on (i) view recognition, (ii) disease classification, (iii) segmentation of cardiac structures, and (iv) quantitative assessment of cardiac function.

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Funded by CAIMed